Australia Election Predictions
Shorter than I was planning, but as you can see below the last 24 hours have been busy! Here’s my predictions for tomorrow’s Australian Elections.
Category: Statistics
Modelling Elector Behaviour
A fascinating interview with Jim Messina who has been hired by the Conservatives in the UK to help them at the next General Election. Amazing stuff. They basically modelled elector behaviour and worked out what things made people more likely …
Online Directory for Sexual Orientation Change Research
Hi folks, I want to provide an online directory of good research into sexual orientation change. I know of a few good studies but I’d be grateful if you knew about any more that you could let me know (in …
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Quick Thoughts on CofE Figures
Unfortunately I don’t have time at the moment to do the serious analysis I did last year on the CofE attendance figures that have just been released. That said, a few observations from ten minutes spent in Excel. Average Sunday …
Like a Blanket of Snow – Why UKIP did so Poorly
Given the kind of headlines we’ve had over the past 48 hours, I wanted to explore why it was so hard to predict how many seats UKIP would have picked up on Thursday. If you look down my blog, you’ll …
Guns Don’t Kill People, Statisticians Do
Last week the US Senate failed to enact the proposed gun reform laws that Obama and others were pressing to get through Congress. The response to this from some in the United States was of horror and disbelief, but sometimes …