Like a Blanket of Snow – Why UKIP did so Poorly
Given the kind of headlines we’ve had over the past 48 hours, I wanted to explore why it was so hard to predict how many seats UKIP would have picked up on Thursday. If you look down my blog, you’ll …
Tag: Vote
Election Results – Initial Analysis
We’ve had six councils declared overnight and the results are showing a definite pattern. Although the UKIP vote is rising quite dramatically across the country, it’s not rising in a targeted manner. Where UKIP have previously not contested a seat they have …
2013 Local Elections – Predictions
I have taken the local elections opinion poll from ComRes (published on the 30th of April) and looked at how the projected share of the vote converts into local county council and unitary authority seats. I have also examined the …
Predicting the USA
Last Update – 0900 GMT 6th November What’s that I hear you say? You want me to put my statistical analytical skills to work to predict the outcome of the Presidential Election in the USA on Tuesday? Why certainly! I’m …
What’s Going to Happen at Synod – The Results!
Yes, the great survey that we had this week is over. A massive 55 of you participated in this ground-breaking exercise in harnessing the wisdom of the crowds (or summat). Here are the results. [poll id=”9″] Hmmmm… The forecast with …
Best EVER Eurovision Song
OK, tonight is the Eurovision Song Contest. For those not familiar with this cultural delight, countries in the European Broadcasting Union submit a song and then we all vote on which is the best. There is absolutely no bias in …